Guabira 3-3 Oriente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup, 26 Jun 2025

📅26/06/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-4.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.6pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guabira EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guabira
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.36 xG 1.28
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
209 Passes 162
70% Pass Accuracy 64%
18 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.05.2025 Guabira Guabira 1-3 HT 1-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
01.11.2024 Guabira Guabira 2-0 HT 0-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
22.07.2024 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 2-1 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
26.08.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
10.04.2023 Guabira Guabira 2-3 HT 1-2 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
09.03.2023 Guabira Guabira 0-1 HT 0-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero CON CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guabira
3-3
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
3.13 xG 1.58
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
226 Passes 344
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Guabira vs Oriente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guabira and Oriente Petrolero couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Guabira at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Guabira had 42% of the ball to Oriente Petrolero's 58%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 3.13 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oriente Petrolero led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Guabira and 1.67 for Oriente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Guabira vs Oriente Petrolero?

Guabira 3-3 Oriente Petrolero in the Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup on 26/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guabira vs Oriente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guabira win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Guabira 41%, draw 26%, Oriente Petrolero 33%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Guabira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guabira) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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