Shire Endaselassie 0-3 Ethiopian Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 26 Jun 2025

📅26/06/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
9.57
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
67%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
25%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
8%
+8.6pp
17%
Draw
16%
+1.1pp
67%
Away Win
76%
-9.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shire Endaselassie EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 81%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+5% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
203 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shire Endaselassie
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
06.01.2025 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance 3-1 Shire Endaselassie Shire Endaselassie ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shire Endaselassie
0-3
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
30% Ball Possession 70%
1 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shire Endaselassie vs Ethiopian Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance ran out comfortable winners over Shire Endaselassie 3-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ethiopian Insurance as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shire Endaselassie had 30% of the ball to Ethiopian Insurance's 70%, shots finished 1-12.

What was the final score of Shire Endaselassie vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Shire Endaselassie 0-3 Ethiopian Insurance in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 26/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shire Endaselassie vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Shire Endaselassie 16%, draw 17%, Ethiopian Insurance 67%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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