San Francisco City FC 1-2 Marin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 26 Jun 2025

📅26/06/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
27%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
70%
-17.1pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.3pp
27%
Away Win
13%
+14.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Francisco City FC EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Marin EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
349 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Francisco City FC
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Marin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.06.2025 Marin Marin 0-3 HT 0-0 San Francisco City FC San Francisco City FC USL2
08.07.2024 San Francisco City FC San Francisco City FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Marin Marin USL2
02.07.2023 San Francisco City FC San Francisco City FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Marin Marin USL2
30.06.2022 San Francisco City FC San Francisco City FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Marin Marin USL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Francisco City FC
1-2
AWAY Marin
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH San Francisco City FC vs Marin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marin edged past San Francisco City FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was San Francisco City FC at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, San Francisco City FC had 58% of the ball to Marin's 42%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, San Francisco City FC had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for San Francisco City FC and 0.75 for Marin.

What was the final score of San Francisco City FC vs Marin?

San Francisco City FC 1-2 Marin in the USA - USL League 2 on 26/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Francisco City FC vs Marin?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Francisco City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split San Francisco City FC 53%, draw 20%, Marin 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Francisco City FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Francisco City FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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