Song Lam Nghe An 3-2 Binh Duong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - Cup, 26 Jun 2025

📅26/06/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
37%
3.11
Away
27%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.68
Over 2.5
35%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
27%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.6pp
37%
Draw
29%
+8.5pp
26%
Away Win
36%
-9.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+9.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-9.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Song Lam Nghe An EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Binh Duong EU Bookmakers 39%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+1% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -58%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Song Lam Nghe An
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Binh Duong
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Binh Duong Binh Duong 2-1 HT 0-0 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An VİET
23.01.2025 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 1-0 HT 0-0 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
26.05.2024 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 1-0 HT 1-0 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
09.03.2024 Binh Duong Binh Duong 3-2 HT 1-0 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An VİET
29.07.2023 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 0-2 HT 0-1 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
07.04.2023 Song Lam Nghe An Song Lam Nghe An 1-1 HT 0-1 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
POST-MATCH Song Lam Nghe An vs Binh Duong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Song Lam Nghe An nicked a narrow win over Binh Duong 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 37% / 26% — and on the day Song Lam Nghe An made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Binh Duong led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Song Lam Nghe An and 1.33 for Binh Duong.

What was the final score of Song Lam Nghe An vs Binh Duong?

Song Lam Nghe An 3-2 Binh Duong in the Vietnam - Cup on 26/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Song Lam Nghe An vs Binh Duong?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Song Lam Nghe An 36%, draw 37%, Binh Duong 26%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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