UMF Tindastoll 2-2 Haukar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 26 Jun 2026

📅26/06/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.18
Draw
16%
3.72
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.32
No
34%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
42%
+6.9pp
16%
Draw
24%
-7.7pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.8pp
66%
BTTS Yes
72%
-5.9pp
34%
BTTS No
28%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UMF Tindastoll EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Haukar EU Bookmakers 38%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.81
+21% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UMF Tindastoll
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Haukar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2024 Haukar Haukar 1-2 HT 0-1 UMF Tindastoll UMF Tindastoll İZL2
24.06.2024 UMF Tindastoll UMF Tindastoll 1-2 HT 1-2 Haukar Haukar İZL2
POST-MATCH UMF Tindastoll vs Haukar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UMF Tindastoll and Haukar couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was UMF Tindastoll at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for UMF Tindastoll and 1.50 for Haukar.

What was the final score of UMF Tindastoll vs Haukar?

UMF Tindastoll 2-2 Haukar in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 26/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UMF Tindastoll vs Haukar?

Before kick-off our model rated a UMF Tindastoll win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split UMF Tindastoll 49%, draw 16%, Haukar 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (UMF Tindastoll) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UMF Tindastoll) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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