West Torrens Birkalla 4-1 Sturt Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL South, 26 Jun 2026

📅26/06/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+1.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-0.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.9pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Torrens Birkalla EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturt Lions EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
0.81/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/3.73
-62% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -51%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
409 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Torrens Birkalla
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Sturt Lions
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.03.2026 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions 2-4 HT 0-3 West Torrens Birkalla West Torrens Birkalla AVNPL
04.06.2022 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions 4-2 HT 2-0 West Torrens Birkalla West Torrens Birkalla AVNPL
26.02.2022 West Torrens Birkalla West Torrens Birkalla 3-0 HT 1-0 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions AVNPL
POST-MATCH West Torrens Birkalla vs Sturt Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Torrens Birkalla ran out comfortable winners over Sturt Lions 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had West Torrens Birkalla as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, West Torrens Birkalla had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for West Torrens Birkalla and 2.00 for Sturt Lions.

What was the final score of West Torrens Birkalla vs Sturt Lions?

West Torrens Birkalla 4-1 Sturt Lions in the Australia - NPL South on 26/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Torrens Birkalla vs Sturt Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Torrens Birkalla win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split West Torrens Birkalla 53%, draw 22%, Sturt Lions 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (West Torrens Birkalla), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (West Torrens Birkalla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVSA More Australia - NPL South
26 Jun 2026
13:00 Croydon Kings vs Adelaide United II Analysis →
14:00 Adelaide Comets vs Adelaide City Analysis →