Sturt Lions 2-4 West Torrens Birkalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+5.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.1pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturt Lions EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY West Torrens Birkalla EU Bookmakers 40%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.56/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.25
+55% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
269 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturt Lions
1W-0D-1L
AWAY West Torrens Birkalla
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
54% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.06.2022 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions 4-2 HT 2-0 West Torrens Birkalla West Torrens Birkalla AVNPL
26.02.2022 West Torrens Birkalla West Torrens Birkalla 3-0 HT 1-0 Sturt Lions Sturt Lions AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sturt Lions vs West Torrens Birkalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Torrens Birkalla beat Sturt Lions 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had West Torrens Birkalla as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sturt Lions and 2.50 for West Torrens Birkalla.

What was the final score of Sturt Lions vs West Torrens Birkalla?

Sturt Lions 2-4 West Torrens Birkalla in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturt Lions vs West Torrens Birkalla?

Before kick-off our model rated an West Torrens Birkalla win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sturt Lions 35%, draw 24%, West Torrens Birkalla 42%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (West Torrens Birkalla), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (West Torrens Birkalla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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