Devonport City 1-0 Kingborough Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒06:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.35
No
40%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.6pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.4pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
70%
-9.8pp
40%
BTTS No
30%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Devonport City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 29%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.51/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/2.61
-30% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -27%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Devonport City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Kingborough Lions
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
02.08.2025 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 3-2 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
31.05.2025 Devonport City Devonport City 1-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
22.03.2025 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 1-0 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
31.08.2024 Devonport City Devonport City 4-1 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
06.07.2024 Devonport City Devonport City 1-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
04.05.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 0-0 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Devonport City vs Kingborough Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Devonport City edged past Kingborough Lions 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Devonport City as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kingborough Lions led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Devonport City and 1.50 for Kingborough Lions.

What was the final score of Devonport City vs Kingborough Lions?

Devonport City 1-0 Kingborough Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Devonport City vs Kingborough Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Devonport City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Devonport City 49%, draw 23%, Kingborough Lions 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Devonport City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Devonport City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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