Kingborough Lions 3-2 Devonport City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒07:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
3.75
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
64%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
33%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
23%
-10.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.7pp
64%
Away Win
56%
+7.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.9pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Devonport City EU Bookmakers 61%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.48/2.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.83
+11% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +37%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kingborough Lions
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Devonport City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 13
6 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.05.2025 Devonport City Devonport City 1-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
22.03.2025 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 1-0 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
31.08.2024 Devonport City Devonport City 4-1 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
06.07.2024 Devonport City Devonport City 1-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
04.05.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 0-0 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
02.09.2023 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 4-3 Devonport City Devonport City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Kingborough Lions vs Devonport City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kingborough Lions squeezed past Devonport City 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Devonport City at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kingborough Lions had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kingborough Lions and 1.50 for Devonport City.

What was the final score of Kingborough Lions vs Devonport City?

Kingborough Lions 3-2 Devonport City in the Australia - National Premier League on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kingborough Lions vs Devonport City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Devonport City win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Kingborough Lions 13%, draw 23%, Devonport City 64%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Devonport City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Devonport City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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