Gomel 1-2 Vitebsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Cup, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
40%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.45
Over 2.5
44%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-6.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+9.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
65%
-8.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
35%
+8.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.3pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gomel EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +138%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gomel
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Vitebsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2024 Gomel Gomel 0-0 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
30.09.2022 Gomel Gomel 1-0 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
13.05.2022 Vitebsk Vitebsk 1-1 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
27.04.2022 Vitebsk Vitebsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLRK
11.09.2021 Gomel Gomel 4-1 HT 2-1 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
30.04.2021 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gomel
1-2
AWAY Vitebsk
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gomel vs Vitebsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitebsk nicked a narrow win over Gomel 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Vitebsk found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gomel had 48% of the ball to Vitebsk's 52%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gomel had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gomel and 0.50 for Vitebsk.

What was the final score of Gomel vs Vitebsk?

Gomel 1-2 Vitebsk in the Belarus - Cup on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gomel vs Vitebsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vitebsk win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gomel 32%, draw 28%, Vitebsk 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitebsk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vitebsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BLRK More Belarus - Cup
26 Jul 2024
18:30 Smorgon vs Belshina Analysis →