Smorgon vs Belshina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Smorgon v Belshina — Team-Based Signals
Smorgon vs Belshina Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Smorgon
BLR
1-0
HT 0-0
Belshina
BLR
Smorgon 1-2 Belshina — Actual Match Statistics
Belshina squeezed past Smorgon 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Smorgon at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Smorgon had 44% of the ball to Belshina's 56%, shots finished 8-13.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Smorgon and 1.00 for Belshina.
What was the final score of Smorgon vs Belshina?
Smorgon 1-2 Belshina in the Belarus - Cup on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Smorgon vs Belshina?
Before kick-off our model rated a Smorgon win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Smorgon 44%, draw 23%, Belshina 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Smorgon) went the other way.