Levski Sofia 4-0 Botev Vratsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.18
Draw
27%
5.71
Away
15%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.18
Over 2.5
41%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.67
No
58%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
80%
-22.4pp
27%
Draw
14%
+12.8pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+9.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
42%
+16.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
58%
-16.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
33%
+9.0pp
58%
BTTS No
67%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 8%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.58/0.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/3.42
-29% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -43%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
441 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Sofia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Botev Vratsa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 0-1 HT 0-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Sofia
4-0
AWAY Botev Vratsa
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Levski Sofia vs Botev Vratsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia swept aside Botev Vratsa 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Levski Sofia had 63% of the ball to Botev Vratsa's 37%, shots finished 21-7.

What was the final score of Levski Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?

Levski Sofia 4-0 Botev Vratsa in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Levski Sofia 58%, draw 27%, Botev Vratsa 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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