Arda Kardzhali 1-0 Levski Krumovgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.62/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.72
+58% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +46%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arda Kardzhali
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 1-1 HT 1-1 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
28.09.2023 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad 1-3 HT 0-3 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arda Kardzhali
1-0
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad
53% Ball Possession 47%
4 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Krumovgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali squeezed past Levski Krumovgrad 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arda Kardzhali as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Arda Kardzhali had 53% of the ball to Levski Krumovgrad's 47%, shots finished 4-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Arda Kardzhali had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Arda Kardzhali and 1.00 for Levski Krumovgrad.

What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Krumovgrad?

Arda Kardzhali 1-0 Levski Krumovgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Krumovgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 41%, draw 28%, Levski Krumovgrad 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arda Kardzhali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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