Arda Kardzhali 1-1 Levski Krumovgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.05
Draw
36%
3.11
Away
36%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
13%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
45%
-16.8pp
36%
Draw
29%
+7.0pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+9.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad EU Bookmakers 30%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.23/2.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.61
+130% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +67%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arda Kardzhali
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2023 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad 1-3 HT 0-3 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arda Kardzhali
1-1
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Krumovgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali and Levski Krumovgrad shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (28% / 36% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Arda Kardzhali had 54% of the ball to Levski Krumovgrad's 46%, shots finished 15-9.

What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Krumovgrad?

Arda Kardzhali 1-1 Levski Krumovgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Krumovgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Levski Krumovgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 28%, draw 36%, Levski Krumovgrad 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (28/36/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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