Cuiaba 1-2 Palestino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.52
Over
46%
2.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.31
No
50%
1.54
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.26
2-3
40%
1.79
4-5
24%
5.41
6+
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.35
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.15
X/1
15%
3.72
X/2
12%
9.48
X/X
14%
3.82
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
18%
8.66
2/X
5%
17.35
Value flag · 2/2 at 8.66 — our 18% vs market 7.8%. Landed.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cuiaba The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Palestino The Market 21%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better
Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better
Bad Attackvs comparable teams
Bad Defensevs comparable teams
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
292 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 79%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
29.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cuiaba
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Palestino
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.34 xG 2.61
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
254 Passes 278
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
5 Box Touches 23
7 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.07.2024 Palestino Palestino 1-1 HT 1-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuiaba
1-2
AWAY Palestino
2.76 xG 1.08
71% Ball Possession 29%
25 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
452 Passes 153
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
37 Box Touches 8
43 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 6
REVIEW Cuiaba vs Palestino
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Palestino edged past Cuiaba 2-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Palestino made the difference.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 50%. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.54, roughly 65%.

On the day, possession split 71% to 29% in Cuiaba's favour, shots finished 25-7, expected goals 2.76 to 1.08 — by the quality of chances, Cuiaba deserved more.

Cuiaba vs Palestino Result & Final Score

Cuiaba 1-2 Palestino in the Copa Sudamericana on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cuiaba vs Palestino Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Cuiaba win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cuiaba 39%, draw 27%, Palestino 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cuiaba) ✗ Under 2.5
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