Gangwon 4-2 Jeonbuk Motors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.4
6+ Goals
12%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 28% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.86
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
21%
4.74
X/2
13%
7.03
X/X
11%
4.7
2/1
10%
24.85
2/2
14%
4.97
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangwon EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 32%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
3.60/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.85
+150% / +121% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -41%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
28.0 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangwon
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.66 xG 1.00
44% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
326 Passes 433
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.05.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 2-1 HT 1-1 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
07.04.2024 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-3 HT 1-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
16.09.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 1-3 HT 1-2 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
11.06.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-2 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
29.04.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 0-1 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
11.10.2022 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 1-0 HT 1-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gangwon
4-2
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
389 Passes 405
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gangwon vs Jeonbuk Motors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon beat Jeonbuk Motors 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gangwon as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gangwon had 48% of the ball to Jeonbuk Motors's 52%, shots finished 19-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gangwon had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gangwon and 1.17 for Jeonbuk Motors.

What was the final score of Gangwon vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Gangwon 4-2 Jeonbuk Motors in the South Kore - K League Classic on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangwon vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gangwon win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gangwon 43%, draw 25%, Jeonbuk Motors 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gangwon), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gangwon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
26 Jul 2024
13:30 Jeju United vs Ulsan Hyundai Analysis →