Jeju United 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.79
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 32% vs market 21.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.98
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
9%
12.55
X/1
15%
6.09
X/2
9%
5.38
X/X
13%
4.82
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
21%
3.34
2/X
6%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.1pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeju United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.21/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.48
+17% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeju United
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
358 Passes 429
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.06.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 2-3 HT 1-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
28.04.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-1 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
21.07.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-1 HT 2-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
28.06.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-1 HT 1-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
10.06.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 5-1 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
02.04.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 1-3 HT 1-3 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeju United
1-0
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 10
301 Passes 464
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jeju United vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeju United edged past Ulsan Hyundai 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Jeju United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jeju United had 44% of the ball to Ulsan Hyundai's 56%, shots finished 16-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Jeju United and 2.83 for Ulsan Hyundai.

What was the final score of Jeju United vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Jeju United 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai in the South Kore - K League Classic on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeju United vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeju United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Jeju United 36%, draw 28%, Ulsan Hyundai 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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