Krylya Sovetov 1-3 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 26 Jul 2024

Krylya Sovetov
1-3 HT 0-1
Rostov
📅26/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2024/2025

Krylya Sovetov vs Rostov Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.57
6+ Goals
8%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 31% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.39
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
9%
6.27
X/2
12%
5.03
X/X
15%
4.52
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
23%
3.22
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Krylya Sovetov v Rostov — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +20%
1.26/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.03
+0% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
295 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 74%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
15.6 Crosses 16.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Krylya Sovetov vs Rostov Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Rostov
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.34 xG 1.18
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
338 Passes 315
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.03.2024 Rostov Rostov 2-0 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
05.08.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 5-1 HT 3-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
12.11.2022 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-3 HT 0-2 Rostov Rostov RUS
17.09.2022 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 1-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
06.04.2022 Rostov Rostov 1-0 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
18.09.2021 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 4-2 HT 1-1 Rostov Rostov RUS

Krylya Sovetov 1-3 Rostov — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
1-3
AWAY Rostov
0.77 xG 1.02
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 3
289 Passes 317
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Box Touches 19
5 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Krylya Sovetov vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov saw off Krylya Sovetov 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rostov as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Krylya Sovetov had 47% of the ball to Rostov's 53%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.77 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 1.83 for Rostov.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs Rostov?

Krylya Sovetov 1-3 Rostov in the Russia - Premier League on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 29%, draw 27%, Rostov 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rostov) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rostov) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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