Shaanxi Union 3-1 Foshan Nanshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
28%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.01
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 30% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-12.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+11.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.8pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shaanxi Union EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 20%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
1.53/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.27
-15% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
15.5 Crosses 13.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shaanxi Union
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.06 xG 1.06
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
423 Passes 223
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.07.2025 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-0 HT 0-0 Shaanxi Union Shaanxi Union ÇİN2
06.04.2025 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-1 HT 2-0 Shaanxi Union Shaanxi Union ÇİN2
30.03.2025 Shaanxi Union Shaanxi Union 3-1 HT 2-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shaanxi Union
3-1
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
1.72 xG 0.31
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
374 Passes 207
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shaanxi Union vs Foshan Nanshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shaanxi Union beat Foshan Nanshi 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shaanxi Union as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shaanxi Union had 62% of the ball to Foshan Nanshi's 38%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.72 to 0.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Foshan Nanshi led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Shaanxi Union and 1.67 for Foshan Nanshi.

What was the final score of Shaanxi Union vs Foshan Nanshi?

Shaanxi Union 3-1 Foshan Nanshi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shaanxi Union vs Foshan Nanshi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shaanxi Union win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Shaanxi Union 48%, draw 24%, Foshan Nanshi 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shaanxi Union) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shaanxi Union) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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