Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-1 Shenzhen Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.28
Draw
16%
5.15
Away
21%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.54
2-3 Goals
45%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.74
6+ Goals
12%
7.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
74%
-11.7pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.3pp
21%
Away Win
9%
+11.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen Juniors EU Bookmakers 11%
-12% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.33/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.97
-21% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -33%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
30.2 Crosses 14.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Shenzhen Juniors
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.12 xG 1.01
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
211 Passes 225
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2025 Shenzhen Juniors Shenzhen Juniors 0-3 HT 0-2 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
2-1
AWAY Shenzhen Juniors
2.73 xG 1.45
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 10
276 Passes 122
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 28
35 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shenzhen Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long squeezed past Shenzhen Juniors 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chongqing Tongliang Long as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Chongqing Tongliang Long had 64% of the ball to Shenzhen Juniors's 36%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 2.73 to 1.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Chongqing Tongliang Long's control.

What was the final score of Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shenzhen Juniors?

Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-1 Shenzhen Juniors in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shenzhen Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Chongqing Tongliang Long 63%, draw 17%, Shenzhen Juniors 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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