Brommapojkarna 2-3 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.22
2-3 Goals
46%
1.91
4-5 Goals
20%
3.12
6+ Goals
9%
9.81
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.22 — our 25% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.42
1/2
12%
22.45
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
10%
7.81
X/2
15%
4.91
X/X
14%
5.35
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
15%
2.65
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-5.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 51%
-12% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -25%
1.29/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.09
-32% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 84%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.4
24.1 Crosses 20.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brommapojkarna
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Malmö FF
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.39 xG 1.59
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
248 Passes 547
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 39
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2025 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-2 HT 0-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
10.11.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-1 HT 2-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
01.06.2024 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 2-2 HT 1-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
02.10.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-1 HT 2-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
08.04.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 1-2 HT 1-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
02.09.2018 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-3 HT 0-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brommapojkarna
2-3
AWAY Malmö FF
0.82 xG 1.22
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
278 Passes 713
79% Pass Accuracy 91%
19 Box Touches 30
8 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brommapojkarna vs Malmö FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF nicked a narrow win over Brommapojkarna 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brommapojkarna had 32% of the ball to Malmö FF's 68%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.82 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brommapojkarna and 2.00 for Malmö FF.

What was the final score of Brommapojkarna vs Malmö FF?

Brommapojkarna 2-3 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brommapojkarna vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Brommapojkarna 28%, draw 30%, Malmö FF 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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