Weiche Flensburg 2-5 Phönix Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Jul 2025

Weiche Flensburg
2-5 HT 1-4
Phönix Lübeck
📅26/07/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2025/2026

Weiche Flensburg vs Phönix Lübeck Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.18
Over 2.5
62%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+6.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
42%
-3.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
58%
+3.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.0pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Weiche Flensburg v Phönix Lübeck — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.61/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.62
-4% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5

Weiche Flensburg vs Phönix Lübeck Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weiche Flensburg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Phönix Lübeck
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.03.2025 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
13.09.2024 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 2-1 HT 0-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
06.04.2024 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 6-0 HT 2-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
06.10.2023 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 0-5 HT 0-3 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
19.02.2023 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 0-2 HT 0-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
26.08.2022 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 2-0 HT 0-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Weiche Flensburg vs Phönix Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phönix Lübeck ran out comfortable winners over Weiche Flensburg 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Phönix Lübeck found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phönix Lübeck led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Weiche Flensburg and 2.17 for Phönix Lübeck.

What was the final score of Weiche Flensburg vs Phönix Lübeck?

Weiche Flensburg 2-5 Phönix Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weiche Flensburg vs Phönix Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weiche Flensburg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Weiche Flensburg 39%, draw 23%, Phönix Lübeck 39%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/23/39) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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