Deportivo Moron 0-2 Chacarita Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.0
Draw
42%
2.83
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
Over 2.5
31%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.53
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
46%
-13.7pp
42%
Draw
32%
+10.7pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.0pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +18%
1.21/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.86
+2% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +26%
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Moron
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Chacarita Juniors
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
23.03.2025 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
13.03.2022 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 0-1 HT 0-1 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
19.03.2014 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Deportivo Moron vs Chacarita Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chacarita Juniors beat Deportivo Moron 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Moron and 0.67 for Chacarita Juniors.

What was the final score of Deportivo Moron vs Chacarita Juniors?

Deportivo Moron 0-2 Chacarita Juniors in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Moron vs Chacarita Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Moron 32%, draw 42%, Chacarita Juniors 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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