La Louvière 0-2 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.16
6+ Goals
6%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.35
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
3%
14.25
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
5.66
X/2
14%
5.39
X/X
21%
3.7
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
14%
4.02
2/X
3%
14.15
Value flag · X/1 at 5.66 — our 23% vs market 13.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
34%
+8.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.4pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.3pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Louvière EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
Crosses 17.3
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Louvière
0-2
AWAY Standard Liege
0.84 xG 1.76
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
267 Passes 383
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH La Louvière vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Standard Liege saw off La Louvière 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was La Louvière at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, La Louvière had 44% of the ball to Standard Liege's 56%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.84 to 1.76.

What was the final score of La Louvière vs Standard Liege?

La Louvière 0-2 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Louvière vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Louvière win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split La Louvière 42%, draw 27%, Standard Liege 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (La Louvière) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (La Louvière) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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