SV Zulte Waregem 1-1 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 26 Jul 2025

SV Zulte Waregem
1-1 HT 0-1
Mechelen
📅26/07/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

SV Zulte Waregem vs Mechelen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.65
2-3 Goals
36%
1.92
4-5 Goals
27%
2.79
6+ Goals
16%
7.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.54
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
22.45
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
13%
7.16
X/2
13%
5.4
X/X
12%
5.56
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
22%
2.93
2/X
6%
12.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.45 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.3pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SV Zulte Waregem v Mechelen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Zulte Waregem EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.22/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.27
+10% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
20.9 Crosses 16.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

SV Zulte Waregem vs Mechelen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Zulte Waregem
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mechelen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.55 xG 1.15
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
257 Passes 348
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.02.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 1-0 HT 0-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEK
02.02.2023 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 1-2 HT 1-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEK
08.01.2023 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 2-0 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
05.11.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 2-2 HT 2-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL
18.12.2021 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 3-2 HT 0-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
23.10.2021 Mechelen Mechelen 2-2 HT 2-2 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL

SV Zulte Waregem 1-1 Mechelen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SV Zulte Waregem
1-1
AWAY Mechelen
2.08 xG 0.51
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 6
452 Passes 349
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
45 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SV Zulte Waregem vs Mechelen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Zulte Waregem and Mechelen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mechelen at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, SV Zulte Waregem had 56% of the ball to Mechelen's 44%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.08 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for SV Zulte Waregem and 1.50 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of SV Zulte Waregem vs Mechelen?

SV Zulte Waregem 1-1 Mechelen in the Belgium - Pro League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Zulte Waregem vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mechelen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split SV Zulte Waregem 32%, draw 26%, Mechelen 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mechelen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mechelen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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