BFA 0-0 Lietava Jonava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.03
Over 2.5
41%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-10.9pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.3pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
45%
+13.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
55%
-13.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.2pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFA EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lietava Jonava EU Bookmakers 27%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
2.76/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/0.00
+68% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFA
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Lietava Jonava
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
15.03.2025 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava 0-1 BFA BFA LIT1
07.10.2023 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava 0-3 HT 0-1 BFA BFA LIT1
21.05.2023 BFA BFA 2-1 HT 1-0 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFA
0-0
AWAY Lietava Jonava
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH BFA vs Lietava Jonava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFA and Lietava Jonava fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was BFA at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, BFA had 53% of the ball to Lietava Jonava's 47%, shots finished 20-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, BFA had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for BFA and 0.33 for Lietava Jonava.

What was the final score of BFA vs Lietava Jonava?

BFA 0-0 Lietava Jonava in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFA vs Lietava Jonava?

Before kick-off our model rated a BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split BFA 42%, draw 30%, Lietava Jonava 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (BFA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BFA) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
26 Jul 2025
14:00 Tauras Taurage vs FA Siauliai II Analysis →