Barwell 4-0 Hitchin Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.89
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.53
No
53%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
49%
+4.7pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.2pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
61%
-14.3pp
53%
BTTS No
39%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barwell EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hitchin Town EU Bookmakers 30%
-12% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.58/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.42
-9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
271 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barwell
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hitchin Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.02.2024 Barwell Barwell 2-0 HT 1-0 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town İNGNLP
23.09.2023 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
20.02.2023 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
06.08.2022 Barwell Barwell 1-2 HT 1-0 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town İNGNLP
27.11.2021 Barwell Barwell 2-1 HT 0-1 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town İNGNLP
13.09.2021 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town 3-2 HT 2-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Barwell vs Hitchin Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barwell ran out comfortable winners over Hitchin Town 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barwell as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Barwell and 1.17 for Hitchin Town.

What was the final score of Barwell vs Hitchin Town?

Barwell 4-0 Hitchin Town in the England - Non League Premier on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barwell vs Hitchin Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barwell win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Barwell 53%, draw 21%, Hitchin Town 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barwell), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barwell) ✓ BTTS No
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