Hungerford Town 0-2 Swindon Supermarine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.46
No
52%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
64%
-16.2pp
52%
BTTS No
36%
+16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hungerford Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Supermarine EU Bookmakers 28%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -19%
1.84/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.24
-2% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hungerford Town
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Swindon Supermarine
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town 3-2 HT 0-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
26.09.2023 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 2-3 HT 0-2 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Hungerford Town vs Swindon Supermarine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swindon Supermarine got the better of Hungerford Town 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hungerford Town at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hungerford Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Hungerford Town and 2.00 for Swindon Supermarine.

What was the final score of Hungerford Town vs Swindon Supermarine?

Hungerford Town 0-2 Swindon Supermarine in the England - Non League Premier on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hungerford Town vs Swindon Supermarine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hungerford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hungerford Town 52%, draw 24%, Swindon Supermarine 24%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Hungerford Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hungerford Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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