Hungerford Town 3-2 Swindon Supermarine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.2pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.3pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.6pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hungerford Town EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Supermarine EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
2.95/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.90
+66% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hungerford Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Swindon Supermarine
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
16 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2023 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 2-3 HT 0-2 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hungerford Town
3-2
AWAY Swindon Supermarine
62% Ball Possession 38%
26 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hungerford Town vs Swindon Supermarine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hungerford Town edged past Swindon Supermarine 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hungerford Town as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hungerford Town had 62% of the ball to Swindon Supermarine's 38%, shots finished 26-10.

What was the final score of Hungerford Town vs Swindon Supermarine?

Hungerford Town 3-2 Swindon Supermarine in the England - Non League Premier on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hungerford Town vs Swindon Supermarine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hungerford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hungerford Town 45%, draw 20%, Swindon Supermarine 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hungerford Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hungerford Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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