Blyth Spartans 1-4 Morpeth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blyth Spartans EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 31%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.88
-42% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
POST-MATCH Blyth Spartans vs Morpeth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Morpeth Town swept aside Blyth Spartans 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Blyth Spartans at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Blyth Spartans vs Morpeth Town?

Blyth Spartans 1-4 Morpeth Town in the England - Non League Premier on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blyth Spartans vs Morpeth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blyth Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Blyth Spartans 45%, draw 23%, Morpeth Town 32%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Blyth Spartans) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Blyth Spartans) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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