Cordoba 2-2 Burgos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.9
6+ Goals
10%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.62
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.75
X/1
14%
4.03
X/2
11%
8.03
X/X
12%
3.92
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
12%
6.86
2/X
10%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+7.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cordoba EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Burgos EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -20%
0.91/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.30
+9% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
25.1 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cordoba
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Burgos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
08.12.2001 Cordoba Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cordoba
2-2
AWAY Burgos
1.11 xG 1.53
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
305 Passes 268
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cordoba vs Burgos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cordoba and Burgos shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cordoba at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cordoba had 53% of the ball to Burgos's 47%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.11 to 1.53.

What was the final score of Cordoba vs Burgos?

Cordoba 2-2 Burgos in the Spain - 2nd Division on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cordoba vs Burgos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cordoba 42%, draw 27%, Burgos 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cordoba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
26 Aug 2024
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