Cartagena 1-2 Real Zaragoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.58
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.37
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
8%
5.56
X/2
12%
5.15
X/X
18%
3.46
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.92
2/X
8%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.4pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.4pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.9pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cartagena EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +2%
1.35/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.07
+23% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
21.7 Crosses 16.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cartagena
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Real Zaragoza
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.99 xG 1.19
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
309 Passes 351
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.02.2024 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-2 HT 0-1 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
10.09.2023 Cartagena Cartagena 1-3 HT 1-2 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
28.07.2023 Cartagena Cartagena 1-2 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza HAZ
13.05.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-0 HT 1-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
26.08.2022 Cartagena Cartagena 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
19.03.2022 Cartagena Cartagena 3-0 HT 1-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cartagena
1-2
AWAY Real Zaragoza
0.52 xG 2.37
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
228 Passes 385
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cartagena vs Real Zaragoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Zaragoza squeezed past Cartagena 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Real Zaragoza made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cartagena had 41% of the ball to Real Zaragoza's 59%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.52 to 2.37 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Zaragoza's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cartagena and 1.33 for Real Zaragoza.

What was the final score of Cartagena vs Real Zaragoza?

Cartagena 1-2 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - 2nd Division on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cartagena vs Real Zaragoza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Zaragoza win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cartagena 32%, draw 31%, Real Zaragoza 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Zaragoza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Zaragoza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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