Cagliari 1-1 Como — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 26 Aug 2024

Cagliari
1 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Como
📅26/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.74
Over
46%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.89
2-3
48%
1.77
4-5
19%
4.03
6+
4%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.11
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
17%
4.73
X/2
11%
6.51
X/X
19%
4.21
2/1
2%
28.5
2/2
14%
4.88
2/X
5%
13.55
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Cagliari The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Como The Market 32%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.45 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.02
1.16 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.23
Average Attack Strength
Weak Defense Strength
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27 Crosses
2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cagliari
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Como
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.65 xG 1.18
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
320 Passes 308
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
25.07.2024 Como Como 3-1 HT 2-1 Cagliari Cagliari HAZ
14.01.2023 Cagliari Cagliari 2-0 HT 1-0 Como Como İTB
13.08.2022 Como Como 1-1 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTB
19.04.2016 Como Como 1-1 HT 0-1 Cagliari Cagliari İTB
06.12.2015 Cagliari Cagliari 1-1 HT 0-0 Como Como İTB
03.04.2004 Cagliari Cagliari 3-2 HT 1-1 Como Como İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cagliari
1 - 1
AWAY Como
0.81 xG 1.53
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
273 Passes 333
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Cagliari vs Como
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cagliari and Como finished all square at 1-1. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

A gentle 43% lean on Cagliari didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both.

Under the surface, Cagliari had 47% of the ball to Como's 53%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.81 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cagliari had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cagliari and 1.33 for Como.

Cagliari vs Como Result & Final Score

Cagliari 1 - 1 Como in the Italy - Serie A on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cagliari vs Como Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Cagliari win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cagliari 43%, draw 30%, Como 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cagliari) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cagliari) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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