Como 3-1 Cagliari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jul 2024

Como
3-1 HT 2-1
Cagliari
📅25/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Como vs Cagliari Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.54
6+ Goals
11%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 28% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
28%
+9.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Como v Cagliari — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Cagliari EU Bookmakers 49%
+50% / +50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+119% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Como vs Cagliari Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Cagliari
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.18 xG 0.65
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
308 Passes 320
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.01.2023 Cagliari Cagliari 2-0 HT 1-0 Como Como İTB
13.08.2022 Como Como 1-1 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTB
19.04.2016 Como Como 1-1 HT 0-1 Cagliari Cagliari İTB
06.12.2015 Cagliari Cagliari 1-1 HT 0-0 Como Como İTB
03.04.2004 Cagliari Cagliari 3-2 HT 1-1 Como Como İTB
09.11.2003 Como Como 1-3 HT 0-1 Cagliari Cagliari İTB

Como 3-1 Cagliari — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como
3-1
AWAY Cagliari
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Como vs Cagliari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como beat Cagliari 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Como made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Como had 49% of the ball to Cagliari's 51%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cagliari led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Como and 1.83 for Cagliari.

What was the final score of Como vs Cagliari?

Como 3-1 Cagliari in the Friendlies on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como vs Cagliari?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cagliari win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Como 38%, draw 24%, Cagliari 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cagliari) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cagliari) ✓ BTTS Yes
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