Gamba Osaka 0-1 Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jul 2024

Gamba Osaka
0-1 HT 0-0
Real Sociedad
📅25/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Gamba Osaka vs Real Sociedad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
50%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.93
6+ Goals
11%
8.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.59
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
21.4
1/X
5%
14.3
X/1
7%
9.39
X/2
15%
4.25
X/X
13%
5.63
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.2
2/X
8%
13.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.4 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
50%
Away Win
54%
-4.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gamba Osaka v Real Sociedad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 58%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.93
-100% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Gamba Osaka 0-1 Real Sociedad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gamba Osaka
0-1
AWAY Real Sociedad
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gamba Osaka vs Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad squeezed past Gamba Osaka 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Sociedad as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gamba Osaka had 39% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 61%, shots finished 9-20.

What was the final score of Gamba Osaka vs Real Sociedad?

Gamba Osaka 0-1 Real Sociedad in the Friendlies on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gamba Osaka vs Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gamba Osaka 24%, draw 26%, Real Sociedad 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Sociedad) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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