Chelsea 2-2 Wrexham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jul 2024

Chelsea
2-2 HT 1-0
Wrexham
📅25/07/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Chelsea vs Wrexham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.28
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
23%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
1.0
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
12.55
2-3 Goals
37%
2.84
4-5 Goals
31%
2.3
6+ Goals
11%
2.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.4
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
21.45
X/1
16%
4.02
X/2
10%
21.85
X/X
10%
12.0
2/1
10%
16.45
2/2
8%
12.65
2/X
5%
20.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
74%
-18.2pp
21%
Draw
15%
+6.3pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+11.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.4pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chelsea v Wrexham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Wrexham EU Bookmakers 14%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.93/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/0.51
-20% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +65%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
487 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
14.0 Crosses 15.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Chelsea vs Wrexham Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Wrexham
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.29 xG 0.86
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 7
597 Passes 276
94% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 23
5 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
20.07.2023 Chelsea Chelsea 5-0 HT 2-0 Wrexham Wrexham FLO

Chelsea 2-2 Wrexham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea
2-2
AWAY Wrexham
0.63 xG 0.46
75% Ball Possession 25%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
700 Passes 186
91% Pass Accuracy 73%
41 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chelsea vs Wrexham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea and Wrexham shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Chelsea at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Chelsea had 75% of the ball to Wrexham's 25%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.63 to 0.46.

What was the final score of Chelsea vs Wrexham?

Chelsea 2-2 Wrexham in the Friendlies on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea vs Wrexham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 56%, draw 21%, Wrexham 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chelsea) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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