Hamburg 0-0 Aris Limassol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.98
Over 2.5
51%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.38
No
46%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.5pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
30%
+19.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
70%
-19.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.8pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Limassol EU Bookmakers 29%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.37/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+30% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +61%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
387 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamburg
0-0
AWAY Aris Limassol
62% Ball Possession 38%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Hamburg vs Aris Limassol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg and Aris Limassol played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Hamburg at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Hamburg had 62% of the ball to Aris Limassol's 38%, shots finished 5-11.

What was the final score of Hamburg vs Aris Limassol?

Hamburg 0-0 Aris Limassol in the Friendlies on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburg vs Aris Limassol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hamburg 46%, draw 26%, Aris Limassol 28%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hamburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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