Genoa 3-2 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.96
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.6
No
37%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
68%
-9.6pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.4pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+9.2pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.5pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
58%
+5.0pp
37%
BTTS No
42%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genoa EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova EU Bookmakers 17%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-28% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
436 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genoa
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Mantova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.06.2007 Mantova Mantova 1-0 HT 0-0 Genoa Genoa İTB
19.01.2007 Genoa Genoa 2-1 HT 1-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genoa
3-2
AWAY Mantova
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Genoa vs Mantova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genoa edged past Mantova 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Genoa as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Genoa had 47% of the ball to Mantova's 53%, shots finished 17-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Genoa and 1.00 for Mantova.

What was the final score of Genoa vs Mantova?

Genoa 3-2 Mantova in the Friendlies on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genoa vs Mantova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Genoa 59%, draw 18%, Mantova 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genoa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Genoa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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