Fortuna Sittard 1-3 Mönchengladbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
53%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.59
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.78
2-3 Goals
33%
2.04
4-5 Goals
32%
2.61
6+ Goals
14%
6.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.42
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
19.75
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
11%
8.58
X/2
17%
4.55
X/X
7%
6.4
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
26%
2.28
2/X
6%
13.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.75 — our 11% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+2.2pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.5pp
53%
Away Win
52%
+1.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.9pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 56%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.00/5.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.11
-23% / -69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Sittard
1-3
AWAY Mönchengladbach
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Fortuna Sittard vs Mönchengladbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mönchengladbach saw off Fortuna Sittard 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mönchengladbach as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Fortuna Sittard had 47% of the ball to Mönchengladbach's 53%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard vs Mönchengladbach?

Fortuna Sittard 1-3 Mönchengladbach in the Friendlies on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard vs Mönchengladbach?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mönchengladbach win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard 27%, draw 19%, Mönchengladbach 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mönchengladbach), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mönchengladbach) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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