Nueva Chicago 1-0 Colon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒22:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.44
No
67%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Colon win — 41%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.8pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.9pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.8pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-1.8pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.8pp
33%
BTTS Yes
37%
-3.7pp
67%
BTTS No
63%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Colon EU Bookmakers 46%
+3% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
1.11/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.22
+16% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nueva Chicago
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Colon
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
189 Passes 392
63% Pass Accuracy 78%
06.04.2024 Colon Colon 2-1 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
12.07.2015 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-0 HT 0-0 Colon Colon ARJ
18.10.2014 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-0 HT 0-0 Colon Colon ARJPBN
26.08.2014 Colon Colon 3-0 HT 1-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
18.03.2007 Colon Colon 1-2 HT 0-2 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJ
10.09.2006 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-0 HT 1-0 Colon Colon ARJ
POST-MATCH Nueva Chicago vs Colon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nueva Chicago nicked a narrow win over Colon 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Colon at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (67%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nueva Chicago and 1.00 for Colon.

What was the final score of Nueva Chicago vs Colon?

Nueva Chicago 1-0 Colon in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nueva Chicago vs Colon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Colon win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nueva Chicago 29%, draw 30%, Colon 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Colon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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