Colon 2-1 Nueva Chicago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 6 Apr 2024

Colon
2-1 HT 0-0
Nueva Chicago
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒03:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Colon vs Nueva Chicago Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
35%
3.18
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.9pp
35%
Draw
28%
+6.8pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.4pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Colon v Nueva Chicago — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colon EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.83/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.10
+42% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 4.0

Colon vs Nueva Chicago Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colon
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Nueva Chicago
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
392 Passes 189
78% Pass Accuracy 63%
The Meetings
12.07.2015 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-0 HT 0-0 Colon Colon ARJ
18.10.2014 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-0 HT 0-0 Colon Colon ARJPBN
26.08.2014 Colon Colon 3-0 HT 1-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
18.03.2007 Colon Colon 1-2 HT 0-2 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJ
10.09.2006 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-0 HT 1-0 Colon Colon ARJ
POST-MATCH Colon vs Nueva Chicago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colon nicked a narrow win over Nueva Chicago 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Colon as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nueva Chicago led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Colon and 0.60 for Nueva Chicago.

What was the final score of Colon vs Nueva Chicago?

Colon 2-1 Nueva Chicago in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colon vs Nueva Chicago?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colon win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Colon 45%, draw 35%, Nueva Chicago 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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