Almirante Brown 1-1 Deportivo Moron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.38
Over 2.5
35%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.8pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.2pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
69%
-3.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
31%
+3.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.1pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -16%
0.77/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.32
-32% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almirante Brown
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Moron
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
27.08.2023 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
15.04.2023 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 2-2 HT 1-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
18.06.2022 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
14.07.2015 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBM
04.03.2015 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 4-3 HT 2-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almirante Brown and Deportivo Moron shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Deportivo Moron led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Almirante Brown and 2.00 for Deportivo Moron.

What was the final score of Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron?

Almirante Brown 1-1 Deportivo Moron in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Moron win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Almirante Brown 34%, draw 31%, Deportivo Moron 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Moron), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Moron) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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