Chacarita Juniors 1-1 San Martin San Juan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
39%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
42%
-10.7pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.9pp
39%
Away Win
27%
+11.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.2pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.61/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.35
+35% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
416 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chacarita Juniors
0W-1D-1L
AWAY San Martin San Juan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
372 Passes 227
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.08.2022 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-1 HT 0-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
12.05.2018 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-4 HT 1-2 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
POST-MATCH Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin San Juan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chacarita Juniors and San Martin San Juan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, San Martin San Juan led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chacarita Juniors and 2.50 for San Martin San Juan.

What was the final score of Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin San Juan?

Chacarita Juniors 1-1 San Martin San Juan in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin San Juan?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Martin San Juan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chacarita Juniors 31%, draw 30%, San Martin San Juan 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (San Martin San Juan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Martin San Juan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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