Oriente Petrolero 2-2 Nacional Potosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 26 Aug 2024

Oriente Petrolero
2-2 HT 2-2
Nacional Potosi
📅26/08/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.7pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Oriente Petrolero v Nacional Potosi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.45/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.26
-8% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 72%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
21.1 Crosses 17.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.6

Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oriente Petrolero
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.92 xG 1.81
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
163 Passes 354
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.07.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-1 HT 1-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
05.02.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 3-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
21.05.2022 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 4-2 HT 2-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
10.04.2022 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 4-2 HT 1-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
10.12.2021 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-0 HT 0-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
15.08.2021 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ

Oriente Petrolero 2-2 Nacional Potosi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oriente Petrolero
2-2
AWAY Nacional Potosi
2.19 xG 1.10
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 0
303 Passes 168
78% Pass Accuracy 65%
39 Box Touches 6
32 Crosses 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oriente Petrolero and Nacional Potosi couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Oriente Petrolero at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Oriente Petrolero had 62% of the ball to Nacional Potosi's 38%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 2.19 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Potosi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Oriente Petrolero and 1.67 for Nacional Potosi.

What was the final score of Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi?

Oriente Petrolero 2-2 Nacional Potosi in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oriente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Oriente Petrolero 47%, draw 26%, Nacional Potosi 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Oriente Petrolero) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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