Universitario de Vinto 0-1 Bolivar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 26 Aug 2024

Universitario de Vinto
0-1 HT 0-1
Bolivar
📅26/08/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

Universitario de Vinto vs Bolivar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
23%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-7.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Universitario de Vinto v Bolivar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolivar EU Bookmakers 54%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
0.85/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.96
+20% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +4%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
255 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
13.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
16.6 Crosses 14.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.5

Universitario de Vinto vs Bolivar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario de Vinto
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Bolivar
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.68 xG 1.59
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
219 Passes 326
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.12.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 2-2 HT 1-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLPLK
28.11.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-1 HT 0-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLPLK
05.11.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 2-2 HT 1-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
09.05.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 1-1 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
11.09.2022 Bolivar Bolivar 2-0 HT 2-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
20.04.2022 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-4 HT 0-3 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ

Universitario de Vinto 0-1 Bolivar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario de Vinto
0-1
AWAY Bolivar
1.81 xG 1.25
38% Ball Possession 62%
22 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
215 Passes 394
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Universitario de Vinto vs Bolivar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar squeezed past Universitario de Vinto 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bolivar as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Universitario de Vinto had 38% of the ball to Bolivar's 62%, shots finished 22-20, expected goals 1.81 to 1.25 — on chances, Universitario de Vinto could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolivar led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Universitario de Vinto and 2.00 for Bolivar.

What was the final score of Universitario de Vinto vs Bolivar?

Universitario de Vinto 0-1 Bolivar in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario de Vinto vs Bolivar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Universitario de Vinto 32%, draw 26%, Bolivar 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolivar), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bolivar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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