Vila Nova vs America Mineiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vila Nova v America Mineiro — Team-Based Signals
Vila Nova vs America Mineiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Vila Nova
BR2
1-1
HT 0-0
America Mineiro
BR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Vila Nova
BR2
2-0
HT 1-0
America Mineiro
BR2
0-1
HT 0-0
America Mineiro
BR2
Vila Nova 1-0 America Mineiro — Actual Match Statistics
Vila Nova edged past America Mineiro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Vila Nova made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.
On the day, Vila Nova had 41% of the ball to America Mineiro's 59%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.75 to 1.00.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America Mineiro led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vila Nova and 1.33 for America Mineiro.
What was the final score of Vila Nova vs America Mineiro?
Vila Nova 1-0 America Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie B on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs America Mineiro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 40%, draw 30%, America Mineiro 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vila Nova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.