Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Septemvri Sofia v Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Team-Based Signals
Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Septemvri Sofia
BUL1
Septemvri Sofia 2-3 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Actual Match Statistics
Lokomotiv Plovdiv nicked a narrow win over Septemvri Sofia 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Lokomotiv Plovdiv as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Septemvri Sofia had 44% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 56%, shots finished 12-12.
What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Septemvri Sofia 2-3 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 31%, draw 24%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.