Cherno More Varna 3-0 Levski Krumovgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-3.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.9pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.4pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad EU Bookmakers 16%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.86/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.85
+8% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cherno More Varna
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 3-1 HT 1-1 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
26.11.2023 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 3-2 HT 2-0 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
28.07.2023 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad 1-3 HT 1-1 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cherno More Varna
3-0
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cherno More Varna vs Levski Krumovgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cherno More Varna ran out comfortable winners over Levski Krumovgrad 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cherno More Varna as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cherno More Varna had 59% of the ball to Levski Krumovgrad's 41%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Cherno More Varna and 1.33 for Levski Krumovgrad.

What was the final score of Cherno More Varna vs Levski Krumovgrad?

Cherno More Varna 3-0 Levski Krumovgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cherno More Varna vs Levski Krumovgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 62%, draw 22%, Levski Krumovgrad 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cherno More Varna), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cherno More Varna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
26 Aug 2024
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