Barcelona SC 1-0 Uni. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 26 Aug 2024

Barcelona SC
1-0 HT 1-0
Uni. Catolica
📅26/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Barcelona SC vs Uni. Catolica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barcelona SC v Uni. Catolica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
0.89/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.26
-10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
311 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
15.5 Crosses 14.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Barcelona SC vs Uni. Catolica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona SC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.92 xG 0.93
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
339 Passes 316
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.05.2024 Uni. Catolica 0-1 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
04.12.2023 Uni. Catolica 0-1 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
19.06.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-2 HT 0-2 Uni. Catolica EKV1
14.08.2022 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
02.04.2022 Uni. Catolica 1-2 HT 0-2 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
21.11.2021 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-1 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1

Barcelona SC 1-0 Uni. Catolica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona SC
1-0
AWAY Uni. Catolica
0.61 xG 0.43
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
169 Passes 364
65% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barcelona SC vs Uni. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona SC squeezed past Uni. Catolica 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barcelona SC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Barcelona SC had 37% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 63%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.61 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Barcelona SC and 0.67 for Uni. Catolica.

What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs Uni. Catolica?

Barcelona SC 1-0 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona SC vs Uni. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Barcelona SC 41%, draw 28%, Uni. Catolica 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona SC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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