SJK Seinajoki 0-1 Gnistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.39
2-3 Goals
38%
2.0
4-5 Goals
28%
2.68
6+ Goals
13%
6.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.41
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
10%
4.69
X/2
7%
8.21
X/X
10%
5.98
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.6
2/2
13%
5.22
2/X
10%
13.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.6 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Gnistan EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.04/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.19
+15% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
439 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 81%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
21.4 Crosses 16.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Seinajoki
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gnistan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
252 Passes 280
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
28.04.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 0-1 HT 0-0 SJK Seinajoki SJK Seinajoki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Seinajoki
0-1
AWAY Gnistan
1.72 xG 2.01
73% Ball Possession 27%
21 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 2
464 Passes 125
87% Pass Accuracy 65%
30 Box Touches 24
38 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SJK Seinajoki vs Gnistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gnistan squeezed past SJK Seinajoki 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was SJK Seinajoki at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SJK Seinajoki had 73% of the ball to Gnistan's 27%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.72 to 2.01.

What was the final score of SJK Seinajoki vs Gnistan?

SJK Seinajoki 0-1 Gnistan in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Seinajoki vs Gnistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split SJK Seinajoki 46%, draw 28%, Gnistan 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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